According to The Kobeissi Letter, President Trump has reiterated his willingness to sign legislation banning congressional stock trading, a stance he has supported several times. However, prediction markets currently assign only a 7% probability that such a ban will be enacted in 2025, suggesting traders anticipate significant legislative resistance despite Trump's public commitment (source: The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter, April 25, 2025). This low likelihood may affect sentiment around political risk and regulatory reform trades, with short-term volatility possible for stocks linked to congressional trading activity and policy-focused ETFs.